Miami (FL) vs Duke 11/24/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Miami (FL) winning 54% of simulations, and Duke 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Miami (FL) commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Duke wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Stephen Morris is averaging 254 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Sean Renfree is averaging 325 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is DUKE +5
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